facebookYou Won’t Retire at 65: Most Singaporeans Will Work Away Their “Golden Years”

169

shares

060723 You Won’t Retire at 65_ Most Singaporeans Will Work Away Their “Golden Years”

You Won’t Retire at 65: Most Singaporeans Will Work Away Their “Golden Years”

profileJustin Oh

Think having CPF LIFE to fully live out your golden years is enough? You might want to think again.

Source: Giphy

According to Singstat, almost half of Singaporeans (49.4 per cent) from 65 to 69 are still in the workforce in 2022. That’s up from 38.6 per cent in 2012.

While some will see this as a good thing as seniors can still keep active and earn a paycheck, the question that hit me was this:

“Still part of Singapore’s workforce? Shouldn’t it be about time to retire?”

Turns out, a very possible explanation is that the senior generation may not have a choice.

Here’s why.


TL;DR: Singapore’s Retirement Crisis

Jump to:


Singapore’s History With Senior Employment

Is working during our retirement years a want or a need? That has been the debate for a long time, but an even more pressing one now with high inflation.

Back in January, DPM Lawrence Wong said:

“There’s obviously a limit to how long we can work. But also we must recognize with rising longevity, with people living longer lifespans, when we do our surveys, the majority of people do want to work longer so long as they are healthy.”

Many netizens were quick to retort to his comments with some saying that it is not a want, but rather a need.

Some even went as far as calling it gaslighting.

Of course, DPM Wong can backup his claims.

A study commissioned by The Sunday Times in 2022,  found that three in four older workers don’t intend to retire before 65. The top reasons for wanting to remain employed were staying active, having a sense of purpose, maintaining social connections and saving up for old age.

However, it is seemingly odd that rising costs of living isn’t a top reason.

If I gave you $10 million, more than enough for you to retire now, would you keep your current job?

Surveys and opinions will always have some sort of bias, so let’s take a look at the numbers for a deeper insight to Singapore’s retirement situation.

How Much Is Needed For Retirement?

Disclaimer: As we only have access to data up till 2022, all figures will be based on 2022 unless stated otherwise.

Retirement for you will not be the same as it is for me as we have different retirement lifestyles in mind.

That said, there have been various studies done to give us a rough idea of how much we need based on what lifestyle we want.

A retirement study in 2019 by a team at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, revealed how much a household needs to meet their basic needs:

Demographic of householdHow much you need for basic needs
Single elderly household$1,379 per month
Coupled elderly household$2,351 per month
Single person

(aged 55 - 64 years old)
$1,721 per month

According to the researchers, this sum not only covers basic expenses such as food, transportation, and accommodation but also includes money required beyond subsistence, such as money for a mobile phone or an annual holiday.

Since the study is a bit dated, we’ve used the MAS calculator to account for inflation. The $1,379 in 2019 would be worth $1,494.42 in 2022.

We’ll round that up to $1,500. Based on our previous calculations:

The amount required for a senior to retire is $288,000 in 2022 at 65. For those who hit 65 in 2056, that amount rises to $575,968 after factoring for inflation.

Remember, this is for a basic retirement that meets basic expenses and an annual holiday.

For those who want to retire comfortably and truly live out their golden years, here are the amounts (in 2022) that OCBC found we need:

LifestyleAmount needed per month
Two regional holidays a year, takes public transport$2,550
Three regional holidays a year, takes taxi or owns a mid-range car$3,210
Two international holidays a year, employs a full-time domestic helper$5,760

Source: OCBC Bank, Singstat

Is CPF LIFE Enough For a Comfortable Retirement?

Comfortable is a subjective word, but let’s just take $288,000 in retirement savings for basic expenses and an annual holiday as a comfortable lifestyle for the average Singaporean.

Many Singaporeans believe that CPF alone would be enough for their retirement, with close to half planning to count on their CPF savings based on a 2022 Endowus survey.

So let’s take a look at how much CPF LIFE can give us each month:

As shown, just hitting the Basic Retirement Sum at 55 will not let you retire with your basic needs met and an annual holiday.

If you want to live a more comfortable lifestyle with two regional holidays, and/or international holidays, CPF LIFE alone is definitely insufficient even if you hit the Enhanced Retirement Sum, according to OCBC’s report.

Oh, and this does not include any unforeseen medical costs as you get older. So you better have your insurance settled.

Singapore’s Retirement Crisis

Now that we know the amounts we need for a comfortable retirement ($288,000), here’s the kicker:

Singaporeans are staring in the face of a retirement crisis, and many of us refuse to see it.

Because YOLO am I right?

To back up my point, here is the median CPF savings of the average Singaporean:

You can clearly see that the median CPF balance stands at for those aged 61 to 65 is $160,000 to under $180,000.

That is well below our recommended retirement amount of $288,000.

The counter argument is that Singaporeans could have their own investments for retirement, which we hope is the case.

BUT, OCBC also reported that 60% of Singaporeans say that they are not on track with their retirement plans. In other words, majority of us probably don’t have retirement savings aside from CPF because we think it’s a problem for future us, or we have other more pressing expenses such as weddings, housing, and so on.

It’s safe to say that most of us won’t be retiring at 65.


What Can Singaporeans Do To Avoid a Retirement Crisis?

If you are a young person reading this right now, it is only going to get worse from here thanks to high inflation. And while the government has given us guidance with retirement sum targets, it’s useless if you don’t try to hit! It’s a good idea to start topping up your CPF or investing to get to the Full Retirement Sum (FRS) for a comfortable retirement.

Here are the amounts after accounting for projected 3.5% p.a. inflation:

55th Birthday inBasic Retirement Sum
(BRS)
Percentage IncreaseFull Retirement Sum
(2 x BRS)
Percentage IncreaseEnhanced Retirement Sum
(3 x BRS)
2017$83,0003.11%$166,0003.11%$249,000
2018$85,5003.01%$171,0003.01%$256,500
2019$88,0002.92%$176,0002.92%$264,000
2020$90,5002.84%$181,0002.84%$271,500
2021$93,0002.76%$186,000 2.76%$279,000
2022$96,0003.22%$192,0003.22%$288,000
2023$99,400Projected 3.5% increase p.a.$198,800Projected 3.5% increase p.a.$298,200
2024$102,900$205,800$308,700
2025$106,500$213,000$319,500
2026$110,200$220,400$330,600
2027$114,100$228,200$342,300
2028$118,094$236,188$354,282
2029$122,227$244,454$366,681
2030$126,505$253,010$379,515
2031$130,932$261,864$392,796
2032$135,515$271,030$406,545
2033$140,258$280,516$420,774
2034$145,167$290,334$435,501
2035$150,248$300,496$450,744
2036$155,507$311,014$466,521
2037$160,949$321,898$482,847
2038$166,583$333,166$499,749
2039$172,413$344,826$517,239
2040$178,447$356,894$535,341
2041$184,693$369,386$554,079
2042$191,157$382,314$573,471
2043$197,848$395,696$593,544
2044$204,772$409,544$614,316
2045$211,940$423,880$635,820
2046$219,357$438,714$658,071
2047$227,035$454,070$681,105
2048$234,981$469,962$704,943
2049$243,205$486,410$729,615

This means that if you were 28 years old in 2023, you would need approximately $486,410 to hit the FRS.

Otherwise, prepare to continue working through your golden years and retire later in life!

Or you could consider retiring overseas in countries like Malaysia.

profile
About Justin Oh
Your average Zillennial who is obsessed with anime, games, movies and of course, personal finance. Join me as I break down personal finance into easily digestible and fun bits!
You can contribute your thoughts like Justin Oh here.

🔥 What's Popular

    • Loading articles
    • Loading articles
    • Loading articles
    • Loading articles
    • Loading articles
    • Loading articles

Stay updated with the latest finance tips!

Receive bite-sized finance on Telegram here.
💬 Comments (0)
What are your thoughts?

No comments yet.
Be the first to share your thoughts!

🔥 What's Popular

    • Loading articles
    • Loading articles
    • Loading articles
    • Loading articles
    • Loading articles
    • Loading articles

Join our Community!

Discuss your thoughts with like-minded members in these community groups!

Stay updated with the latest finance tips!

Receive bite-sized finance on Telegram here.